Monday, 30 July 2018

The Future is not Bright.... The Future is Authoritarian.

Authoritarians to the left of me, Authoritarians to the right....

We are closely coming to a crossroads on UK (if not World) politics. On this I'm deadly serious.

On the left you have an essentially Communist Labour party who would like nothing more than to interfere with your life in an increasingly intrusive way.

On the (almost) right we have the Tories, wilfully ignoring the will of the people and trying to "negotiate" the softest Brexit ever, leving us under the ever-more interfering and anti-democratic EU.

The choices for centrist liberals would normally be the Liberal party, but they have also hoist their flag to the authoritarian and anti-democratic EU in a most un-liberal way.

All the major parties want to take more tax without incresing the burden of accountability and now the EU has started making overtures about an EU-wide income tax and an EU Army without any concession in the way of making the organisation more open and democratically accountable.

So what choice does a Democratic, centrist, minimal-interference-from-government, out-of-the-EU, greater-accountability-in-Government loving voter do these days? Just where can I mark my X?

It seems there is very liitle choice at the moment. I have thrown my hat into the ring with UKIP, having become a member of that party. They are the nearest to a centrist party these days.

Despite the media's biased reporting of UKIP and some of the more unpalleatable comments coming from Gerard Batten their leader, they are the best hope for the common man to rally round and support to break the anti-democratic elitist deadlock we have in the UK.

For many months there have been rumours of a new party, a movement, a this, a that and probably an other, but with little actually happening. I've said before that Turkeys don't vote for Christmas and such a party would have a hard time getting decent funding because it's essentially a party that would remove the political priviledge and power of the elite..... and only the elite have the money to fund a new political party from scratch. Catch 22.

Of course now that voters are moving back to UKIP in large numbers, the smear stories are appearing in large numbers about anyone that has anything to do with the party as the elite desperately try to shut the growing movement down.

Also it seems that the Elite are trying to stifle "off-message" speech, hence the debate about a crackdown on "fake news" on social media. Which of course itself ironically is fake news. The truth is it's about control of the narrative and control of the public's access to alternative news outlets.

The Elite are really scared at the moment. Brexit and Trump were shots across the bows in what I suspect will become a war for freedom in the future. The problem is the Elite have the backing of the Leftist educational establishments, who happily peddle politically correct tosh at schoolkids.

All they have to do is wait and the Elite will be handed a whole population of sheep that have been taught not to question anyone in authority.

Authoritarianism is the new goal of the Elite, whether it comes from the thuggery and bullying of the left, the anti-democratic unelected European union, or the fascism of the extreme right.

Permission to Speak Sah!!

It's fitting, but also quite depressing that on the 50th Anniversary of Dad's Army (a TV programme about people that fought for the freedom of the country), that politicians are now discussing shutting down free speech and political discussion and eventually we'll have to use Jones' catchphrase in order to say anything.

After the Brexit referendum and the Trump election win, the supposedly liberal prograssive left (actually non of the sort) blamed their losses on outside influences, mainly Russia and their use of social media.

Now, it's very easy to blame Russia as a culprit, because all of those dodgy marketing notices to get about "you'll never believe what she said", or "Guess what this politician has been up to" variety are mainly hosted on Russian hosts. The reasons are cheap hosting for one and a weak adherence to regulations are another.

Guido's order-order.com website hosts in teh Rebublic of Ireland for a similar reason in that injuctions forbading release of information that apply to the UK, don't apply to Eire and so Guido is free to publish that which the UK-based media cannot.

There is no super-secret plot to destabilise governments, it's just business: businesses host crap sites cheaper abroad and they don't get regulated about spam as much.

"Fake News" is a term that has been done to death, but there are many interpretations of the phrase. Most people would say that fake news is untruths being stated as fact.

Basically fake news as promoted by the Elite is any news that does not follow their narrative. Truth doesn't come into it. Politicians and the news never tell the absolute truth. There will always be some spin, bias or slant to the information presented to the public. It's up to the public to inform themselves of the signs of this and peel away the half-truths to get at the real picture.

I always use the NHS as an example. On the Tory side they say they are putting ever more money into the NHS. Labour say that the NHS is suffering from cuts. In this instance both sides are telling the truth. How can that be/ You can't have cuts AND be putting more money into the NHS surely?

But both are correct, because more money IS going into the NHS budget but LESS of that money is getting to the front line and ending up in treatment.

There are several reasons for this, but the biggest is the NHS' legal bill. Incompetence and mistakes cost the NHS almost half it's budget settling lawsuits. But you never hear this news, why? Because it would kill the narrative of both side of the debate. Our adversarial politics likes to have opposing views: to make things black and white. Greyness has no place in politics because you can't rally the troops round fuzzy grey logic.

And this is where the latest discussions around fake news and the regulation of social media are going at the moment: Control of the Narrative. Politicians want control of the news from specific outlets, they want the message to be pure and unmuddied. They do not want alternative media outlets that can usurp the mainstream.

Thursday, 19 July 2018

Revelation Time: What I think Theresa May Thinks Brexit actually means.

I've said here and elsewhere a lot of words about the Chequers proposal and how it doesn't deliver Brexit. But in a moment of revelation I think I know what Theresa May is thinking in her dealings with the EU over Brexit.

And I've come to the conclusion it isn't Brexit.

She's using the referendum vote as a bargaining chip to reform the EU itself and therefore allow us to stay within the EU. There is no other explaination as to how she thinks the Chequers proposal is an exit from the EU in any way, shape or from.

It can only be the explaination, because last Sunday she said the Chequers deal was one of two options. Chequers or staying in the EU. There was no fully out option in her mind.

I think she has deluded herself into thinking she is Margaret Thatcher Mk2, that she can go to the EU and demand concessions and refom the EU from within, to make it more acceptable to UK pallettes. By leveraging the threat to leave and remove our budget contribution or partially leave and reduce the money flow she thinks the EU will roll over and play ball. But the EU ain't like that. They will bend for a while, but then snap back later once they have an agreement.

She thinks she can use the referendum to go one better than David Cameron and force the whole EU to capitulate and change fundamental policy. She thinks she can get concessions on immigration, payments, and all the other things that previous PMs have failed to extract from the EU.

That I think is her plan in a nutshell: gain concessions from the EU and stay in a reformed EU, or just stay in without concessions.

She's renegotiating the terms of being inside the EU, rather than negotiating our exit.

Brexit it ain't. Not by a long chalk.