Thursday 31 December 2020

The Science of Fear.

 Well, it's happened: Science has crossed the rubicon and is no longer Science as we knew it back in the Seventies. 

Back then Science was... Science. No corporate or financial funding pressures, Science was done on an altruistic basis. It was for the benefit of humanity. Funding was done not on the basis of profit, or return on investment, or what those funding the science could get out of it.

Then in the Eighties and Nineties, return on investment became ever more important. Pharmaceuticals in particular defunded research in compounds that didn't have promise and a lucrative application down the pipeline.

Environmental scientists started to speak of Armageddon in order to stoke up pressure for funding. At the end of the seventies we had tales of impending ice ages. By the Nineties, that had changed to tales of runaway global warming. Fear was a great tool to use to stoke up funding for research into largely unprovable theories of impending doom decades further down the line, when the funding couldn't be clawed back if the science was found to be flawed.

Now epidemiology has caught the fear bug. We are being told that we have to shield in place to avoid contact with a virus that has a 99.9% survival rate in healthy people under the age of 60.

Er, isn't that just like the "normal" 'flu? Well, essentially, yes.

So, why are we buying in millions of doses of vaccine to vaccinate people against a virus they would survive?

Why are we not doing as we do with the normal flu and only vaccinating those that have underlying health problems and therefore are in the 0.1% of people under 60 that are at risk of dying from the bug, along with those over 60 that are at greater risk?

Again, fear is driving the process, as scientists stoke it up and justify their salaries and funding. But wher is the science. I mean, the actual, objective, unswayed by money science?

I can't see much of it anywhere, least of all in those so-called scientists that are advising the government to wast money vaccinating people that need not be vaccinated, stopping people from working that need not be stopped, preventing people from socialising that need not be stopped.

Either the Wuhan Flu is just another Corona virus and will do what viruses do normally, the majority of the people will get it and not be affected.

Or, there is something in it Governments and scientists across the world aren't telling us. We need to know, because without knowing what that "it" is, their fears and subsequent knee-jerk reactions make no sense.

Either treat it like normal 'flu and let the majority of people get on with their lives, or come clean on what is special about Covid-19 that requires nay, mandates that everyone be vaccinated.

UPDATE:

It seems now that there are reports by the News agencies that even though we get vaccinated, the virus will still live on in our nasal passage. 

Er, yep, that's not news. A multitude of viruses live in our nasal passages after we have beaten them off.  They need to be infecting us to make us infectious. If we have had the virus and we are no longer spewing out viral particles they are not harmful to us, nor are they harmful to others. Normally.

Unless there is (as I said above) that there is something special about COVID-19 that surpasses all the previously known virologic and epidemiologic science.

But we need to know the truth to be able to make an informed decision and especially to understand government policy, which at the moment appears random and incomprehensible.




Wednesday 30 December 2020

COVID-19: Response is The Definition of Insanity.

 So, the majority of the country goes to Tier4, which is Lockdown in Name Only.  Which has been proven not to work. Twice. The definition of insanity is repeating behaviour that has been proven not to work with the misguided notion that it will, finally, work.

Strangely Liverpool, Surrounded by Tier4 Zombie apocalypse wastelands stays in Tier3. I assume the decision is political to save face over the track and trace fiasco that failed in Liverpool. Gone quiet about that hasn't it? It was supposed to be a beacon for the country as best practice. 

Then everyone in Liverpool did what they wanted and stuck two fingers up to the track and track people. Either by ignoring them or just disabling bluetooth on their phones, or just not downloading the NHS Covid app.

Anyhoo, I expect Liverpool will be in Tier4 next week. Just a slight delay so the government can say T&T is working when we patently know it isn't.

So, the Isles of Scilly are the only area in Tier one. The Isle of Man stays Alcatraz-like off the coast of the North West refusing to allow people on or off. You're imprisoned on that rock for the foreseeable. Unless you have a jetski.

Rumours abound of an impending new, specially-made-up Tier 5 for the naughty boys and girls that don't isolate. You will be sent back to your room without tea and you'll stay there until your attitude improves.

If you don't mend your ways, the government are contemplating Tiers all the way up to ten.

Tier 9 is "Kill Yourself - to save the NHS"

Tier 10 is "If you won't do it, we'll come round your house and kill you ourselves - to save the NHS"

Otherwise known as the Final Solution.





Tuesday 29 December 2020

COVID-19: Tier4 Bollocks.

So, let me get this straight. We're now in Tier4 essentially across the UK because cases are rising.

However, lets have a common-sense look at this.

Tier4 is essentially lockdown, yet the borders are still open, the schools will be going back in January and the "essential" shops have no limits on the amount of customers placed in them. 

So it's not a lockdown and keeping people indoors will do nothing to stop the spread if other vectors for transmission are not closed down as well.

Anyone with kids will know how effective they are at spreading any germs around, so unless the schools maintain social distancing inside school (good luck with that, controlling small kids is like herding fog) and the adults at the gate keep 2 meters apart and wear masks, then this new variant covid is just going to jump the gap and infect the lot of them.

So really Tier4 is a load of bollocks. Because yet again the public can see Swiss-cheese size holes in the Government's rules. Either lock down properly or don't fucking bother. Just saying.

Talking of Swiss Cheese, I see in the news that a bunch of Brits just escaped Switzerland "Great Escape" style overnight, because Switzerland were about to impose quarantine restrictions on Brits so they had to isolate in place for 10 days. But it was Verbiers so very posh and those posh knobs don't like following lockdowns. I have visions of a convoy of Black Range Rovers heading for the French border in the small hours of the morning.  I expect they "escaped" the UK to avoid tier4 rules anyway. I say don't let the fuckers back in the UK. I bet they don't quarantine on arrival either.

My prediction is we'll be back in a national lockdown on the 2nd of January, or close afterwards. Not that lockdowns work. Especially the notlockdowns we keep having in the UK.

Again the government has missed an opportunity. They could have called a nationwide lockdown over Christmas. 10 days full lockdown from Christmas Eve all the way through to 2nd of January, which would have cost most people only 3 or 4 day's pay.  Warn in advance, let people get to where they need to be for Christmas/New Year and then they stay there for 10 days. If 14 days is warranted, then move the 2021 Bank Holidays to the beginning of January. 

No excuses for going out. Borders closed, schools closed, all shops shut, no no nipping out to the corner shop for mint sauce. No excuse for "essential workers" either, they stay in place for the duration. 

Given enough warning, even the essential care homes could have put measures in place and the NHS could have got staff in to cope and put them up over the period. 

But is that too simple? Am I missing something? Am I asking too much.

 I suppose I am, given the NHS had over 97,000 people off sick in one day over the weekend.

Now there are rumours that the Government are going to invent a new "Tier5" set of restrictions for after the New Year. Yeah? Fuck. Right. Off.

It's meaningless bollocks. Do it properly, with public consent and the consent of Parliament to make it lawful, or don't fucking bother at all. Cunts.