First off, I hope that Labour get a bloody nose in the Makerfield bye election and Andy Burnham doesn't get in and Labour don't have the rebranding that the gullible may fall for.
But let's do the thought process: what if Burnham got in. What might he do to improve Labour's chances of winning against Reform or Restore at the next election?
What would Burnham's policies be as PM?
One of the likely pushes of a Burnham government would be to Nationalise public transport. The success of Bee line in Manchester has already gained public support in that city. However, no on notes the cost of conversion from Private to Public ownership. Yes, the busses and trams might work a bit better and having a single transport entity makes moving from buses to trams seamless, but does the cost outweigh the benefit? Only time will tell. Of course users on see the benefits, especially if the service is subsidised with borrowed money. Like most socialist projects, it may all collapse in 5 years as borrowing costs rise beyond the ability to fund repayment from fares.
If the Bee line experiment is pushed to become a Nationwide experiment, let's hope there's enough good will in the markets to allow the borrowing to fund the enterprise. Also the large investment funds may get a bit upset at losing the profits from road and rail transport companies.
The second most likely nationalisation in Burnham's public-ownership-focussed brain would be the utility companies, especially the water companies. And it would be supported by the public. But...
The problem he has there is convincing the public to fund repair of the infrastructure caused by decades of lackluster investment by private owners. Why should the public pay? And if the public pays, how are they compensated by the companies that profited from the hideous profiteering by the owners of the utility companies whilst in their ownership?
Those are just two of the problems that Burnham could face if he tries the "Manchester Mayor" his term as PM.
Notwithstanding the issues he faces from the declining revenue from tax, increased borrowing (and the pressure to borrow even more to fund re-nationalisation), increasing inequality, increasing social and cultural division, etc.
Whether Burham can see past the leftist ideology and identify the true causes of those issues, is another thing. Starmer is captured by ideology. I get the impression Burnham is (currently) a bit more free-flowing, but if he becomes PM would the party, the blob and donors constrain him?
Hopefully it never comes to that and Burham loses the bye-election.
Then we'll see Starmer revert to type and his true authoritarian nature will come out. I'm sure there will be a reshuffle like you've not seen before, with ever more obscure and ineffectual personalities put in positions of power, so as not to threaten Starner's premiership. Whether he gets to eradicate all his opponents from the cabinet remains to be seen.
But Starmer is like the step-dad from hell. He is determined to make you a better person (according to him) by force if necessary, up to the point of abuse. Let's just hope we can survive the next 3 years unscathed and whoever gets in can reverse the last 30 years of abusive government.