It's Nice to be Proven Right (2).

Yesterday it was reported by the BBC that asylum seekers were falsely claiming to be gay in order to strengthen their claim, because they said they would be persecuted back home.

Yep, been saying that for years. Claimants are playing the system, just like they play the benefits system and get help from so-called interpreters (who are basically advocates). 

Now, today it's reported asylum seekers are falsely claiming domestic violence in order to strengthen their asylum claim as well. 

Not only the two cases above, but the BBC have reported there's a whole raft of abuses of the system, including falsely claiming you're an atheist or have converted to Christianity.

Yep, been saying that immigrants have been lying on applications for years. 

Look, I've seen it first hand. 

Waaaaay back in 1980 I was made redundant and had to claim dole money. One of the things I immediately noticed was the Asian lady next to me had an interpreter with her. From the jist of the conversation I was overhearing, the interpreter was doing all the heavy lifting regarding the lady's claim. My first ever glimpse into the industry that supports immigrants and runs rings round the systems we have in place. That was 46 years ago. 

Just imagine how sophisticated and entrenched the system of cheating and gaming the system is now, after 50 years of not being investigated and stopped.

In my booth, I was getting short shrift. No help, no top-ups, not entitled to anything extra. Such was the icy reception, I rather facetiously asked, "can I have an interpreter", because I pointed up that the interpreter next door knew the system better than I and I would like an advocate to tell me what I could and couldn't claim for, rather than the icy reception and the "It's not my job to tell you what you're entitled to" response to my questions from the lady opposite.

I got the job centre death stare for pointing this out.

So, it doesn't surprise me in the least, that immigrants are gaming the system and people are helping them to do it. It's been going on for decades. They are gaming the system because it can be gamed. The people running the system are gullible enough to allow advocates into the system, rather than keep it the same for everyone. 

If solicitors are advising client to lie on their asylum claims, they should be struck off. End of. 

If those advising the claimants are interpreters, the answer is simple: no more interpreters. 

It's not racism, it's not hate against the asylum seekers, it's closing loopholes they are using to game the system and making it a level and truthful playing field for all. Where there is genuine need, then we should help. But our hospitality has been abused for over half a century.

But it's nice that finally the BBC of all people is now asking to close off these false claim loopholes.

It's nice to be Proven right

Back in 2019 I posted the following post on why I would never vote Labour. Even back then.

The reasons why not have become predictions. I was spot in the money.

Raises in tax for the low-paid, raises in National Insurance, pressure on employers such that  unemployment has increased under the current government, virtue signalling, open borders, it's all there. 

Back then, it was entirely predictable.

Thursday, 7 November 2019

Why as a Low-Paid Working Class Male I will not vote for the Labour Party.

First off, let me state I'm low Paid. Under 20 grand, which puts me way under the average wage. I'm not on minimum wage (although if the Conservative pledge to bump it up to £10.50 an hour happens, I may well be).

So, I'm working class, low paid. Yet I will not vote for the Labour Party, the traditional home of the low paid working class.

If there is anyone out there reading this that wants to attempt to convince me that voting Labour would benefit me, please do put it in a comment. I'd love the debate.

The reasons are many, but the overall reason is that the Labour Party and it's policies do not represent me. It does not champion the working class. It does not fight for us.

Instead it concentrates on platitudes and virtue signalling.

"More money to the NHS"... which means more taxation of my already meagre wages.

"Better Welfare"... which means even more taxation of my already meagre wages to pay benefits.

"Employers and the Rich should pay more tax"... which means there's a high likelihood that thanks to the already huge pressures on retail companies thanks to increased rates, higher employer N.I. or higher business rates or corporation tax will tip retail companies over the edge into closure. I high chance then that I'll end up jobless and on benefits then.

"Open Borders and Free Movement".... which means more competition for jobs, especially low-paid jobs. Which means there's a higher risk of me and other people like me staying on benefits.

"Free NHS treatment for non-UK nationals"... means that the NHS will not be able to cope as it tries to treat the world's sick and ill. The clamour to pay even more tax money to the NHS will increase and taxation of even low wages like mine will increase. The alternative is to borrow more now and then get the kids and grandkids to pay off the debt.

We had that with Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, that cynically borrowed massively to fund their supposed boom. The tax credits system or Tony Blair job creation scheme as I call it. The scheme that rather than reduce taxes at source, set up a huge administration to take a portion of tax to give back to working families and also pay the wages of the new administrators set up to administer it. So wasteful and so cynical as it allows companies to pay even lower wages to families while relying on taxpayers to make up the shortfall. Genius!

As it stands, I cannot see how the Labour party's policies would benefit me. Conversely, all I see is more negativity in my future if Labour get into power.

Nope, I will not vote for Labour.

The Real Reason Trump has Blockaded Iranian Ports.

Ok, bear with me. This will take some explaining. 

The media is pecking away at the shallow assessment of the Trump actions with Iran. Basically they are saying he is blockading ports in retaliation at Iran charging a toll for ships to pass though the straight of Hormuz. 

And looked in isolation, that's exactly what it would look like. 

However, if you look globally, things start to piece together. One of Iran's biggest customers for oil is China. China takes over 80% of Iranian oil exports and has been building up war reserves of fuel for a couple of years now. 

Intelligence assessments put a date for China maxing it's reserves and therefore it's capability to invade Taiwan at either late 2026 or some time in 2027. It's reserves of war fuels like diesel were working up to such a high level just prior to that. 

Trump could be blockading Iran with the cover that he is dealing with Iran, but simultaneously he is dealing with the problem of China and Taiwan. With no oil from Iran, China will be forced to use it's reserves to supply it's everyday requirements. It will have to draw down on those war reserves, making an invasion of Taiwan less likely.

Yes, the lack of supply from Iran could force China to jump now and use what reserves it has now to instigate the invasion of Taiwan. But China will be hamstrung, because it won't be able to import more oil to refine and use during the invasion. All it would have are it's reserves and what's in the ships already loaded and bound for China. 

And those ships crossing the Indian Ocean from the Gulf are very vulnerable, just like the Iranian warship that was sunk by an American sub. 25 miles off the coast of Sri Lanka. Did you miss that was a message of intent to China as well? 

The danger with Trump's strategy is that China could just lash out now, but how long could it last? Would it escalate to nukes, or an attack on Diego Garcia? Is this a repeat of Pearl Harbour? Could they, would they supply nukes to Iran to allow them to defend themselves? Not without America knowing. 

Who knows. If the Trump administration plays it smart, it can involve China in talks with the Iranians, to persuade them to negotiate in good faith with the Americans. But being Islamists, in my experience good faith is not something they ever negotiate with

Time will tell if this is a huge bit of 4D chess by the Trump administration, or if it's the precursor to World War 3. Lets hope they know how to play chess eh?