My Evolution of Covid. (Part 1).

I'm not going to delve into the details of the Covid enquiry, but I thought it would be a timely thing to look into my own memories of the timeline of Covid.

December 2019.

The first I had heard of Covid was December 2019 as far as I can recollect. 

That's when the first rumours of a massive outbreak in China spread onto the internet. Also that there was a "problem" in Italy. 

Interestingly, in October Wuhan China had hosted the World Military Games 2019 and in December, it was coming to light that several contestants had caught "a respiratory disease" of some sort. Still to this day, the authorities deny it was Covid 19. But you're talking about a tranche of people at the peak of fitness, so the infections wouldn't have made much difference to them. Covid19 is still a possibility.

The rumours about the October games and the infections started in December. Christmas 2019 was a veritable rumour-mill that something big was happening.

January 2020.

January started the rumours of BIG problems in China. New, huge hospitals being built at a fantastic rate and signs of large numbers of deaths.

Numbers of satellite photos swarming around t'internet. 

Also, word started to get out about big problems in Italy. Numbers of deaths climbing exponentially. I'm still convinced it was the number of deaths in Italy the panicked the UK government into the measures it took regarding lockdown. 

Italy officially recognise their first transmission of Covid to Italy when two Chinese tourists are confirmed to be infected. And strangely enough Wikipedia state that as ground zero (at least for detection of the virus anyway). And other clusters 

But strangely, the UK government didn't close the international borders at all.

Which brings us to....

February 2020.

This is the month where it gets real and Covid arrives in the UK. 

People staying in a Ski Chalet in Contamines-Montjoie (I kid you not) become infected. In this report the infection is reported as coming from a person that had flown from Singapore. The man then flew back to the UK and was then diagnosed as having Covid19.

So he infected a Ski Chalet load of people, A long-haul flight from Singapore and I imagine a short-haul flight from France. 

Now I'm not saying that person is the only person responsible for bringing the infection into the UK, but what I am saying is that if as I was aware of Covid by now for over 6 weeks, I'm sure the government were just as aware if not more (I would hope) of conditions in  China.

So why were international flights not stopped in January? Why was more not done to isolate and test people when they arrived in the UK?

February was also the month that Italy officially diagnosed Covid19 as being responsible for the outbreak of respiratory disease in that country.

Of course we now know that Covid had been in Italy since September at the very least and possibly as far back as August, thanks to this study of cancer patient samples.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but the study shows the sort of issue that was brewing in Italy and more widely in Europe, as it took time to identify the respiratory disease as Covid19. We now know it had been infecting people in Italy for months even before the information started coming out of Wuhan in December. It gives some context to the issue of China hiding the outbreak and trying to contain it whilst keeping it a secret from the rest of the world. So much so, that China restricted internal flights, buy continued to allow international flights.

A new, novel respiratory disease was attacking people in Italy, but no-one joined the dots to link it with Wuhan, because China wasn't releasing information. 

It took until February, some 6 months after the infection landed in Europe to confirm the infection was from Wuhan.

Anyway, all that aside, let's continue with February.

February sees more European countries identify small numbers of cases for the first time. Countries in the Far East continue to report large numbers of cases. It's clear that the Far East is the worst affected area, like with SARS. And in this early period the detection methods being used are exactly the same for SARS: monitoring the temperature of passengers queuing for flights and stopping those with temperatures from boarding.

But of course we now know that Covid19 has an asymptomatic phase, where the infected person doesn't know they are infectious so they are allowed to mingle in crowds and infect people.

Don't forget this is the initial strain of Covid19. So it's a big deal. It's a killer. This is some months before the less lethal Omichron variant emerges. If you get Covid during this period, you are highly likely to suffer serious effects and possibly die.

The Government start to issue advice that worked with SARS: wash your hands, use tissues and bin them, etc.

Early in February I started reporting about it: Delphius' Debate: The Gamechanger: Novel Corona Virus.

In which I stated the above and more. I did state that it seemed like Covid19 re-infected patients , so there was no natural immunity. And possibly the Government was seeing the reports I were seeing and thinking the same. Possibly that informed the lack of reliance on natural immunity as with other similar viruses. Who knows?

As an example of how rapidly things were progressing, two days later I felt the need to make another post: Delphius' Debate: Novel Corona Virus (COVID-19) Update

Then 5 days after that, this post: Delphius' Debate: Corona Virus COVID-19 Government Not Helping.

Where I predicted what eventually became the furlough scheme. Basically if you want everyone to isolate, you needed to pay them to isolate. 

March 2020

March is when it went ballistic. Italy was reporting over 100,000 deaths in a month. I was posting every couple of days.

On the 3rd of March I was, as you can expect slightly downbeat: Delphius' Debate: Novel Corona Virus 2019: The Lack of Positive Action May Condemn us All.

A few days later on the 5th, it was finally admitted there was no stopping Covid19. I posted thusly: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19 Government's top Doictor admits it's out in the wild now.

I still made the mistake of lack of natural immunity, but I put that down to the initial strain of the virus which was so... virulent. 

What these early post do is illustrate the illusions around Covid19. The reports coming out of Italy were bad, those coming out of China even worse. Satellite images of plague hospitals being thrown up, of plague pits being dug for the dead, were not conducive to a rational train of thought. I for one, thought this was a bit too close to the apocalypse. 

On the 13th I was wondering why sporting events were still being held, given we knew the virus was spread through the air. How social gatherings hadn't been stopped. Given what happened later, you'd think the government were reading my posts at the time: Delphius' Debate: A Poor Response (To COVID-19)

On the 19th, the Bog Roll fiasco had well and truly kicked in. The mysterious and unexplained disappearance of toilet roll from supermarket shelves: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: The Madness of Crowds.

On the 17th I was posting on how much o a brave little soldier I was for staying at work: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: Working Against Medical Advice

On the 16th I was still poo-pooing herd immunity. Reports were still coming in of individuals being re-infected and also trying to predict the future: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: The Current Expected Scenario.

The 16th warranted another post: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: Blind Faith. where I reported that the numbers of infected were so huge, the government had abandoned testing people for the virus and just assumed anyone with flu-like symptoms had it and so they should isolate themselves. 

On the 24th, it was getting serious: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: Gaps, I see Gaps everywhere..... but only with the government. Everyone else was taking advantage.

But the closure of pubs and some shops was a bit like bolting the stable doors. The horse had already arrived in the UK and no half-hearted closure could stop the spread now. 

Then it calmed down for a while, I didn't post until the 27th after getting ill: Delphius' Debate: COVID-19: More Gaps I did again hint at furlough and also that we would be paying higher taxes for a while to pay for it.

I think the end of March is a decent place to stick a pin in it for now. But as you can see from the posts from the first 3 months of 2020, the information being picked up from the Far East and Italy was not good. It was manic. In just three months, we had gone from a SARS-like virus in the far east, to a deadly virus on the doorstep. With reports of re-infections it showed information was still not correctly formulated, no doubt because of the secrecy of the Chinese, who were starting to exert influence on the World Health Organisation when it came to the world-wide response to Covid and the reporting of the virus. 

Scientists Dazzled at Speed of Unreality Increase.

Well, I called it last week. The increase in unreality detected during the budget has now spilled out into the mass media. 

Instead they determine that Rachael Reeves was lying to the public about the existence of a 20 Billion pound black hole. 

However, it's not lying if the person making the statements actually believes what they are saying. And here is where the scientific process comes in, to quantify how far the statements made by a politician diverges from actual reality.

Now we are in the era of the Reeves scale, maybe it requires a debate on how big the divergence can be, before a government is removed from office. 

After all, a government that is acting upon an alternative reality is not dealing with reality, the real problems that people unaffected by this "reality divergence" see on a daily basis. 

It's not dealing with an unproductive NHS, it's not dealing with excessive immigration, it's not dealing with shrinkage of the armed forces, it's not dealing with the increasingly authoritarian Police force.

Instead, the government inside the unreality bubble (let's call it a Blair field for convenience) are seeing nothing wrong with the Police, nothing wrong with immigration, there is no housing crisis, nothing wrong with the number of illegal immigrants now outnumbers the Army in numbers, believes that people on benefit require more money, despite them owning the very latest iPhone, getting hair, nails and lip fillers done thanks to the money they get by having 6 kids from different dads, and believe there is this huge black hole in the country's finances that needs plugging with our money.

The question is, how do you pierce the Blair Field? How do you inject reality into the bubble surrounding the government?

That may take scientists years to accomplish. I suspect it will take a great amount of power to pierce the Blair field. The rate of disparity between the reality inside the bubble and outside, means that a lot of energy is required for reality to enter inside the field.

It could however be sped up by the use of a process called a Coup. But it appears to be seen if things need to be that drastic. Also how the tools to instigate such a process could be organised in a reasonable amount of time.