Thoughts on France.

I'm watching the riots in France and especially Paris with some interest, mainly because I'm due to take a trip over there in the next few weeks.

Is this the start of the civil war we've been told is imminent? 

It certainly feels like the start of an "Arab Spring" style uprising. It always starts with teenagers throwing rocks and breaking stuff, setting fire to shit and then it escalates, because it's been planned in advance.

We've been told civil war is some way away, The experts cite some arbitrary critical mass like when migrants reach a majority, or significant minority.

Yet in every other country where the Muzzies have taken over, all they needed was a substantial minority, because they were aided by the useful idiots, the Socialists and Communists. Between them, they made up a significant minority and were able through force and violence to take control.

And then once they take power, the Muzzies eliminate the Socialists, because the Socialists don't expect their fraternal friends to turn on them. But they do, every single time.

This happens especially in a country where the majority neither had the expectation of civil war (due to the small minority of immigrants/anti Westerners), nor the means to defend themselves against it (no access to weapons for defence). I notice the French countryside is currently peaceful, mainly because the French countryside still have a lot of guns and hunters able to use them.

A substantial minority with weapons and the will to use them with force can quite easily take control of an unarmed majority. I suspect that we'll see French cities fall first, setting up anti-Western areas and road blocks, 

It all really depends on if the Muslim Brotherhood think the time is right to make a move. Or if this is just testing the water to see how useful the Socialists are and how far they can go without serious pushback from the French Government. 

Currently France is finding out they are really close to the limit of what is possible from the Muslim/Socialist alliance. And it's all thanks to French Socialist/Communist extremists and their ability without any sense of irony to join a cause that wants their extermination.

Thanks to the Socialists aiding the Muzzy minority Civil war is closer than you think here in the UK too. Thankfully not as close as France. Over there there are a huge number of socialists. Over here, not as many as you think, because our socialists used to grow up and become Capitalist adults.

Well they did, when they were locked into capitalism by buying a house, getting a well-paid job and having a family. These days, that's a lot less possible, so socialist students tend to stay embittered socialists well into adulthood. 

But you may think the antagonists in the UK don't have any weapons, how can they start and more importantly win a civil war?

Well, you don't think the traffickers just smuggle people, do you? Networks like that also smuggle drugs and weapons. It's just that they use the people smuggling dinghies to overwhelm the agencies tasked to fly over the channel in reconnaissance aircraft and check on the boats coming across. So the expensive fast boats carrying the good stuff get across unchallenged.

And yes, we do have aircraft flying over the channel almost 24/7. Border force are leasing a couple of De Haviland Canada Dash-8 ISR aircraft, and when they are done doing a 10 hour shift, we're getting Coastguard aircraft flying down from Yorkshire, Cumbria and Scotland to fill in, especially overnight.

Except the aircraft are grounded when there's too much of a swell and the dinghies stop crossing. But not the fast ribs...

It's virtually impossible to Police the channel while Border Force are busy being a taxi service. There are plenty of leisure craft that sail or motor from France to the UK unchallenged. 

If we did actually have a hot civil war, how would it be fought? 

The UK Army, the people trained in using guns measures some 70,000 people. But that's including the people that are not front-line personnel. That's the cooks, the logistics people, the transport drivers, dentists, nurses, doctors. Even the 70,000 number is surpassed just by the number of illegal immigrants. Let alone the extremist Muslims that are citizens of the UK and their Socialist friends. 

But which side would the Army be on? Because it's certainly clear that the Government and the Police are not friends of those that oppose immigration, so it could well be the people vs The Armed Forces, Police and all the agencies of Government that have a monopoly on violence alongside the Muslims and the weapons stashes they have in Mosques.

Whatever form the civil war takes, it won't be along the usual alliances or partitions. 

How many of the armed forces will defect and align with the people? The unarmed Police, probably first in the firing line will be irrelevant. The armed Police may side with the government. But their numbers are pitifully small and easily eliminated, after which we descend into lawlessness.

So it would be difficult at the moment to see what alliances would form and how they would pan out into the meaty part of the war, beyond the initial skirmishes.

I see three main groups. The mainly Christian majority (Aligned with anti-Muslim immigrants like Sikhs and Hindus) , the government and the Muslims. The Socialists may align with the government or the Muslims. I have a feeling the government would align with the Muslims against the Christian majority, just because that's where they will be told to align from their Gulf-State sponsors. 

Although you may break it down even further into two groups depending on their backers. The Muslims backed by Gulf money and the Christians backed (hopefully) by America. 

Anyhow, I'm getting ahead of myself. No civil war here. Yet.

I will watch France with interest. And possibly I'll have a front-row seat when I'm in Paris.