Saturday, 5 December 2009

ClimateGate Arrogant Scientists

A link on the excellent Burning our Money flagged up Friday's Newsnight, where a climate scientist called an American sceptic "an asshole". The argument really has come down to that. With that one word, Professor Watson shows how much contempt he feels for man made global warming deniers.

Watch the program for yourself (while you can) and see that Professor Watson from UEA is the sort of arrogant self-serving scientist that will brook no dissent. This is the same sort of attitude that has got the MMGW camp into such a mess: the almost religious belief that they are right and everyone else are wrong. Not only that, but those that disbelieve are idiots or "assholes".

There is very little doubt in my mind that what has happened with man made global warming is that the scientists crossed a big fat red line which marked the boundary between subjectivity and objectivity. By crossing the line into the territory marked subjectivity, the MMGW people have created their own problem. They have purposefully gone about making the science fit the thesis, manipulating data where it diverted from their theoretical model. Even Professor Watson in the newsnight interview, (if you listen carefully) says that the email entries about hiding the decline were to do with tree ring data, that matched their thesis, until a point where it diverted, so they had to fudge the data. In his own words: "they are looking at temperatures over the last thousand years, trying to reconstruct them and they use a particular method; Er, with tree rings and it works well, up until about 1960 and then it goes wrong for reasons which, which.. there are lots of papers on, which we don't need to go into..."

In other word, they use tree ring data whilst it supports their thesis, up until it diverts from their model, for a reason they can't or won't explain, then they discard it, or make up the data to fit their model.

The arrogance with which Professor Watson dismisses this poor science boggles me. If the data doesn't fit the model, then the model is wrong, at that point they have to prove the mechanism by which the divergent data still continues to fit the model, or modify the model. All of which has to stand up to independant scrutiny, not some closed shop cabal of climate disciples.

I didn't believe at first that ClimateGate was such a big deal, but the more that comes out ot the affair, the more I'm convinced that its big and unstoppable. There will be major repercussions in science, climatology, high finance and politics.

Thank you mysterious climategate hacker/whistleblower, wherever you are. You have given the blogosphere global provenence.

The downside is, I fear a global backlash. Be ready for it.

Targeting the Bloggers: BloggerGate?

There has been in the past few months, a worrying trend towards harrassing bloggers. Several have aparrently shut up shop over the past weeks, thanks to the hassle. The highest profile blog being Anna Racoon, who is now keeping her blog alive guest hosting.

The lastest casualty being the ever excellent Subrosa, who I've followed for ages, and who has regularly commented on my blog. Her blog now has restricted access, which is a pity as her pithy observations of the Scottish political climate as well as her more general observations will be missed.

The thing is though, either this person or persons behind this are pretty fucked up in the head and get some perverted joy out of this, or there are more sinister reasons for this open season on blogs. I just hope that there is something more behind this rather than some geeky turd knocking one out because he caused a blog to close, because that'd be a pretty sad story.

To be honest, this latest trend doesn't bother me, as my stats are way below anything that would register on anyone's radar. I'd be a pretty irrelevant scalp. To be honest if you're reading this, you're one of a pretty select group of people. Thank you.

Not that I'd be a scalp, as I'm not the sort that takes the role of victim. When I started blogging, I had a lot to think about. I have enough skeletons in my closet to remake Jason and the Argonauts. However, I'm far from ashamed about my past or my present activities and if anyone wants to make them public in any way, be my guest. They are already public in other fora and it doesn't take a brain surgeon or master hacker to do a google search and make the link.
Anyone that does, will get a huge "who fucking cares?" from me.

Friday, 4 December 2009

ClimateGate: U.N. Enter the Debate

It seems the head of the U.N body responsible for climate studies has made a statement about the leaked UEA emails saying the allegations of data manipulation warrant further investigation.

It seems the story is growing. I just wonder if the Copenhagen Climate Conference will now be a different animal to the one originally planned.