Tuesday 1 March 2022

Russia Not Using Top Tier Assets in Ukranian Invasion.

It seems pretty clear that Russia is not putting it's maximum effort into invading Ukraine. Looking at the pictures coming out of the country, the abandoned and damaged supposed Russian armour is not front line, top tier equipment. 

It's like Putin doesn't want to fully engage his best equipment in the bid to intimidate the Ukrainian government. 

Either he's calculated second line reserves will do the job of invading the country, or he's using them to pressure the Ukrainian government into a settlement.

Or more chillingly, he's keeping his front line assets back for any future conflict with NATO. 

So what you see in play, is not what you see. There is more depth, more nuance. Putin using his second line reserves to do you job infers he has something further to do, which will be tougher and requires the full strength of front line assets, or he thinks the reserves will do the job he wants them to. 

Always, always scrutinise the images you're seeing. 

In the meantime, I'm not hearing much now of UAF assets. Have they all been neutralised after the Russians were caught out by dispersed aircraft getting into the air? Supposedly there's a huge convoy of trucks sopped outside Kiev that's ripe for a drone bombing or two, yet all I see is aerial shots of an unmolested queue of soft targets. Even Grandad with a Molotov cocktail could inflict a bit of damage on that lot, or a dangling a Molotov under a kids drone and crashing into a truck could do some damage on such a tightly packed group of vehicles.

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