Wednesday 11 September 2019

No Deal....

So, a question I have is: how does Boris get out of the corner Parliament have painted him into.

Now that he's being forced to ask the EU for an extension and additionally forced by Parliament to accept any extension to article 50 - no matter how long, just how does Boris exit the EU on October the 31st?

Does he do all they command, get an extension and then trigger an immediate election, so he can revoke any extension by Christmas?

Does he sit on his hands, refuse to ask for an extension and face prosecution?

Does he go to Brussels, mumble to himself he'd rather like an extension but no-one hears him and he comes back with a clear conscience?

Does he ask for the extension, then fail to complete the necessary paperwork in time thus automatically exiting on the 31st?

Does he ask for the extension but  say there will be no more payments to the EU after the 31st?  Under those circumstances do the EU call his bluff and agree an extension or refuse?

It's quite obvious Boris' government think October 31st is the deadline. There's a huge, expensive ad campaign on TV and radio going on at the moment. The 31st of October is the end, it's the finishing line... be prepared.

Like for the businesses that are involved with trading with the EU, they need to take heed. For the vast majority of businesses it will be carry on as usual.

I'll have to have a look at the repeal of the European Communities Act, to see when that kicks in. If that's on the 31st, then Boris doesn't have any legitimacy in the EU after that date anyway, as EU law is not valid in the UK and we have no obligations to the EU either. EU law fails to be prime and we revert back to good ol' UK law.

If that kicks in on the 31st, we don't pay any money to the EU, so the EU are bound not to extend beyond the 31st and all our MEPs get kicked out of the EU Parliament.

I suspect if Boris goes to the EU, asks for an extension and doesn't give anything back in return, the EU will tell him to sod off. But he's fulfilled the remit of the Bill Parliament have forced upon him. The Bill only compels him to ask for an extension and then accept any extension the EU propose. It doesn't compel him to give anything in return. If Boris and the EU fail to agree anything by the deadline, then exit is triggered.

Not the best way to exit, to negotiate past the deadline and  default out, but I think that's what Boris is relying on.


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