Wednesday 19 January 2022

Don't Blame Boris, Blame the Scientists and their Computer Models

It seems the media is now slowly realising the various computer models of pandemic Armageddon were wildly off the mark.

The estimates of thousands of deaths didn't pan out the first time we had a lockdown, the second time we had a lockdown nor the third Omicron wave when we didn't have a lockdown.

So basically the computer models are less accurate than licking your finger and sticking it in the wind. At least if you do that, you get some information about wind direction.

The SAGE estimates were just basically making not very educated guesses.

So now we can safely ignore the so-called "science" and get back to normal. Not that it was ever science, it was just statistical modelling based on flawed data.

Now that the media have started to understand the flaws with relying on computer models (garbage in, garbage out) I hope they scrutinise other areas of science that rely on computer models.

Yes, I'm looking at you climate scientists.

I'm looking at the Billions of pounds of taxpayers money already spent trying to fix a problem that doesn't appear to exist. The climate models from the Nineties and the Noughties, even the Twenty-Tens have not come to pass. The Earth steadfastly refuses to adhere to the Hockey stick graph that was touted as gospel a decade ago. 

So can we now say that computer models cannot be relied on to give an accurate estimate of the future? They are no more accurate that Mystic Meg, or Tea Leaves. 

The point to take away from all of this is that taxpayer's money should not be spent based on these computer models.

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