Monday 24 September 2018

Brexit - IEA Steps in with size Nines.

Okay, let's reprise where we are up to at the moment with Brexit.

Mrs May originally had David Davies the Brexit minister working on the Brexit strategy and he came up with the Canada ++ option where we are fully out of the EU, the customs Union and the single market. We then negotiate from being fully out, to cherry picking the best bits of previous EU trade deals with other third countries like Canada and Japan. That then becomes a framework for the UK to interact with the EU in a more or less frictionless way with the EU.  Sure there will be some border checks, but the majority of trade will be pre-approved and minimal checks will take place. The N.I. border will not be an issue as goods being transferred across the border from North to South will already be to EU standards, guaranteed. It just requires the regulatory framework to be agreed, which could be a self-financing approvals body that checks companies to ensure products are made to EU standards. It could be paid for by the companies wishing to trade with the EU, or it could be paid for by the taxpayer, but it would be a whole lot less than £40-80 billion to run.

Then the Maybot and her henchmen chopped David Davies' proposal off at the legs and came up with the chequers proposal, whereby the UK will exit the political EU entity, but will stay in the customs union and sinle market, but somehow will not be signed up to free movement of people and will not be subject to ECJ edicts. Since Chequers, EU heads of state have been making approving noises about the proposal, but they are not the EU commission.

Then last week the EU catagorically rejected chequers. Understandably and predictably, because what it requires is for the EU to modify ECC and EFTA membership requirements, specifically the free movment of people and the primacy of the ECJ. Ain't gonna happen just because one country requests it. Even the sweetener of collecting EU import taxes and the UK being subject to EU tariff regimes wasn't enough.

So, that's where we stand at the moment.

Today, the IEA launched their own version of Brexit, which Big Bad Boris seems to prefer. I'm going to have a butchers at it and see where it compares to David Davies' proposal and whether it does indeed form a "proper" Br-exit from the EU.

No comments:

Post a Comment